What to do…

Since today is Memorial Day I’m laying low, even in the open markets. Last week continued the decline after the move upwards in the beginning of the week (when it hit my stop-loss limits) and I stayed out for most part of the rest of the week after that. The OMX was closed half of Wednesday and whole of Thursday.

The USD weakened against all other currencies last week hitting a low of 7.44 USD/SEK. It will be very interesting to see if this trend continues, since it is remarkable that the both the S&P 500 and the USD declined simultaneously.  Gold is rising at about the same rate as the USD decline.

PA Resources went up again Friday, and really proving to be my #1 moneymaker. I liked the 11% interest in the convertible from start and now, when it’s up 60% since January, I love it. Hopefully it will continue trend upwards with the increasing oil price and then make a jump when the results from GITA is released, sometime this summer/autumn. A rumor going around is that it is a candidate for being bought out by some larger entity in the Oil industry. If this happens we are probably looking at a tremendous payday.

As for my ventures into the FOREX trade it didn’t start great last Thursday with a hit of -6.6%. I think it was a fluke, but I admit that it was really bad timing… But I am still intrigued with the possibilities of automated trading, and I really enjoy tinkering with the robots and their settings.

The only EA I run live is MegaDroid for the moment. I am testing FAP Turbo and Robominer in a demo account also, and considering starting the GridBot in demo also. I probably will start FAP Turbo live tomorrow night (don’t trade FOREX around holidays). You can follow my (or my EAs that is) trades at: http://tylerdurden.mt4stats.com

The Market is clearly moving against me. My stop-loss orders have been triggered for SKF, SDS and Xact Bear yesterday or today. I lost some, but not too much. I still think this is a premature rally and that the fundamentals just isn’t there yet, but there’s no arguing with the Market, since only price pays. I’m mostly in cash right now, trying to figure out the direction of the markets for the rest of the week. The OMX Exchange closes midday tomorrow and is closed on Thursday, so I probably will not enter anymore positions at the OMX. The American markets are open as regular and I am tempted to ride this upwards push for the week, perhaps with Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3X (FAS) because of the huge leverage (of course this is risky). But I will for sure get out before the weekend in that case.

On a note of some trades that actually gone my way yesterday and today is PA Resources. I have, for quite some months, had a huge exposure in their convertible KV1 (which I sold of 75% of last week only to buy back at a lower price yesterday). Yesterday the company was mentioned very favorably in the Swedish stock-picking magazine Börsveckan. The stock jumped some 8% yesterday and is up 8% today also. The Convertible is not far behind, but still the favorable lag in its price is a bankable reality. For traders the stock is preferred because of the larger movements in price, but the convertible is far better for long-time investments (the last date to convert is september 2013).